In case you missed it in last night’s discussion thread, alert reader Steve B. mentioned a couple of horserace items of interest. (Thanks Steve.)
Constituent Dynamics, which uses robo-dialing, has updated their snapshot of the Bachmann-Wetterling race. Based on interviews Oct. 24-26, with a margin for error of plus/minus three percent, they show it:
Republican Michele Bachmann: 48.
Democrat Patty Wetterling: 47.
That’s an improvement for Bachmann over the previous Constituent Dynamics poll, in early October, that showed it Wetterling 49; Bachmann 45.
Constituent Dynamics also showed the race in the Minnesota First District this way:
Republican Gil Gutknecht: 50
Democrat Tim Walz: 47.
That’s a slight improvement for Gutknecht over the early October poll, which showed it 48-47 for Gutknecht.
All of the Constituent Dynamics polls are viewable here.
Meanwhile, the Cook Political Report has upgraded Walz’s chances in their latest ranking of the competitiveness of House races (dated Oct. 30).
Cook has moved the race to the toss-up category from “leans Republicans.”
Cook’s overall national rankings look bleaker than ever for Republicans:
“THERE IS NO EBB IN THE WAVE: With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating. Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely.”
If you’re keeping score at home (as the sportscasters say) the Dem’s need a net gain of 15 in the House to take control. In the Senate, the Dems need six. If they get five, the body would be 50-50 with Vice President Cheney holding the tie-breaking vote when necessary.
Lastly (and yes, Steve B. brought all of this to my attention) a new Zogby internet poll for the Wall Street Journal has the Minnesota Guv’s race as:
Democrat Mike Hatch: 46.1
Republican Tim Pawlenty: 44.7,
and it has the Minnesota Senate race as:
Democrat Amy Klobuchar 50.5.
Republican Mark Kennedy: 42.8.
As far as I can tell, none of the polls mentioned in this post included the Independence Party candidates.