Uh-oh. The new Minnesota Poll of the Senate race — which just went up on the Strib website and will be in the Monday editions of the paper — shows DFLer Amy Klobuchar with a staggering 24 percentage point lead over Republican Mark Kennedy.
The numbers, based on interviews with 820 likely voters conducted Wednesday through Friday, are (in case you missed it in the headline of this post):
DFLer Amy Klobuchar: 56.
Republican Mark Kennedy: 32.
Independence-ite Robert Fitzgerald: 3.
Why do I say “uh-oh.” Only because I can imagine the level of grief my esteemed colleague Rob Daves, director of the Minnesota Poll, is going to take over this from Republicans.
It’s natural of course, for the GOP to disparage a poll that looks so bad for their side. But the GOP has been working up a grudge against Daves for years. In 2004, they called for him to be fired over his polling of the Bush-Kerry race in Minnesota.
In the end, there is no final reality check for a poll taken this far before the election. (And, if you go by a comparison between the last pre-election poll and the election results, Rob hit the Kerry-Bush-Minnesota ’04 race on the nose.) I’m not enough of a poll scientist to have an opinion on the merits of one pollster’s likely voter screen over another’s. Actually, I’m not any kind of poll scientist. But I do know that Rob is incredibly conscientious and highly regarded within the profession.
Anyway, what do you think of the state of the Senate race?